0 19 min 2 yrs

It is not so easy to try to summarize Jay’s season.

— Especially, I am still a Lunfeng · · ·

At the time of the 2016 draft, many fans in domestic and foreign forums at that time had always hoped that Celtics would use the third sign to select European insider Bendel because of the brilliant polzingis the previous year, so when the team chose Jay Len to enter the team, he was questioned. At that time, his scout report said:

Rough technology 」

“There is a good potential for single prevention 」

Smart people 」

Ambitious 」

The words are true.

Because it was true that Brown, who was against the microphone, couldn’t get the rough lianqiu at that time, and the shooting choice was not good. The defensive aixiu bounce, and his good health put a lot of pressure on his opponents, but his attention was not good, it is easy to miss off the ball people.

However, he did have sufficient ambition, so in the sixth year of his career, that is, the 2022-2023 season just ended.

He has become a NBA All-Star player for two times and has been selected into the second best NBA team after the regular season this season.

So in this way, we have witnessed the growth of Jay Brown step by step.


Enter the official review of this season:

During the regular season this season, Jay Brown’s basic data is as follows:

All 67 games started, with an average of 35.9 minutes, with 26.6 points, 6.9 rebounds and 3.5 assists;

Field goal percentage 49.1%, of which the two-point hit rate is 57.6%, the three-point hit rate is 33.5%, and the free throw hit rate is 76.5%;

This is the highest field goal percentage of his career, 0.7% more than the second highest hit rate in the 20-21 season;

The two-point hit rate is also the highest in his career, 4.0% more than the second highest hit rate in the 20-21 season;

The free throw hit rate is, which is also the highest level in your career.

However, it’s just that the improvement in data is not worth blowing. Let’s take a look at Brown’s number of shots first to ensure that Brown is not suspected of having more than handheld brush data-fortunately, the distribution of shot growth in Brown regular season is very healthy.

His average shot was 1.4 and 2.2 more than the previous 20-21 season and last year respectively;

And his three-point shot rate is the lowest 35.2 percent in his career, which means that Brown’s main shots are all concentrated on the two-point ball.

Then let’s take the two-point ball apart and say:

According to statistics, Brown has shot 7.9 times in the basket (0-4) this season, which is the highest in his career;

In addition, like the three points, Brown reduced the shot of the middle distance (4-14) he was good at, but he gained the highest hit rate of 44.7 percent in his career;

In addition to these, Brown also shot the third highest Real hit rate in his career this season-58.1%.

All this proves that Brown’s choice in the offensive end is wise and a kind of progress in the scene.

His shot data is relatively healthy, and while he has more opportunities to attack under the basket, his capping rate is 8.1 percent of his career, this also represents the improvement of Brown’s ability to end the basket this year, and every game has gained more opportunities to change and impact the basket than before.

When it comes to shooting, we all know that Brown’s main scoring method is the elbow singles initiated by himself holding the ball.

The main system operation of the team this season is to start with Double exploration of flowers as the attack threat, to use the two brothers to serve their teammates and to create more space for shooting with extra passes.

If it takes a lot of effort to introduce this system, you can temporarily understand it:

Double exploration flowers without balls, through tactics/cover to get to the position, the defender sends shells;

Single Flower Exploration holds the ball, and another flower exploration uses tactics/cover to create a suitable space, and then receives shells;

Single Flower Exploration holds the ball, another flower exploration uses tactics/cover to create space for the ball holder, and then the flower exploration holding the ball consumes the ball power itself.

Tatum had more rights to judge and choose with the ball, so he carried out “Article 2” and “Article 3” more and chose whether to create opportunities for others or to finish the attack by himself, we will explain this in detail in the Tatum article.

However, Brown does not have such a good level of control. His ball-holding routine is mostly to break through to the right hand side, so it is easy to be targeted. Therefore, in the system routine built by the team for double flanks, browdo is the end point of tactics, often running “first” and “second 」.

Here, this “first” can be divided into two goals:

Empty cutting attack basket

Tossing three points

Benefits:

One is to make room for Brown to choose one by one in the elbow area.

The other is to enlarge the advantage of Brown’s ball-free movement.

This is the famous round.

So this season, Brown’s goal-free actually scored a lot for the team:

For example, in the player off screen data at the end of November of this year’s regular season, the no-ball cover and score occurred for the purpose of Jay Brown ending the ball right, brown’s average score of 3.7 returns was 3.7 points, which ranked second in the league at that time, second only to Clay Thompson’s 5.3 rounds and 4.1 points.

Throughout the season, Brown’s no-ball cover rounds also averaged 3.4 times, scoring 3.1 points, so judging from this season, Brown’s performance is steady and rising, and the indicators are not bad.

He is also a qualified second-head attacker. The contract Standard can basically be stable at 35 million and can go up.


BUT ···

Brown’s high-order data is not good-looking.

This may have something to do with Positioning. After all, Brown is not a divergence point. Most of them are ordinary except for the high order of singles.

Therefore, if cross-position comparison is carried out, Brown’s high-order data is even the most popular among the 15 players in the best lineup.

I relaxed the restrictions and removed the players who didn’t play more than 2000 minutes in a season. Brown’s BPM ranked third in the team on this premise, second only to Tatum and white, but you have four players with more than 2,000 minutes, so this is still the second last place in the team-only 1.0 higher than Grant Williams’s.

I have already put the conditions very wide, and the conditions are set at ≥ 2000 minutes. This directly removes smart/Hoford and others. If you do not count the number of appearances, Brown is a list of fighters, his usage rate in the team is the second (31.4%), but the BPM value he can contribute is only 1.3, ranking sixth internally.

However, VORP (irreplaceable value) Brown was only 2.0, ranking fifth in the team, behind Tatum, white, Horford and Brogden.

Brown’s EPM value (2.6) is not bad. (Note: EPM evaluates the player’s contribution to the team’s winning every hundred rounds, and then calculates the player’s winning contribution.)

The team is the third and the 46th in the league, which is higher than the EPM(2.3) of the three-time center Sabonis, and much less than DeMar-DeRozan and Bradley-Bill (both 2.9).

But because Brown is a flank who has been selected into the best second squad · · ·

This data is really average, so I always think that Brown is more suitable for three arrays.

Not to mention Brown’s RAPTOR is more tragic, with a score of 0.2 · · ·

(Note: RAPTOR is used to measure the scores of players contributing to the team’s attack and defense every 100 rounds relative to the league average level.)

This value is the fourth from the bottom of the internal, which is the same as the half-way muskala, only compared with Pritchard (-1.1), who basically cannot play this season. And Grant-you again-the penultimate-Williams (-1.3).

This figure ranked 143rd in the league, which was the same as wentile Carter, which was thought by your fans, 0.2 less than the Poderi Colla Bu-Martin in the regular season · · ·

But in the regular season, this value is actually enough.

After all, he is an efficient middle-distance scorer with All-Star strength, which depends on whether the playoffs can be maintained or raised.

Result · · ·


The result.

Brown played his most outrageous playoff performance in recent years-especially the Eastern finals.

First of all, his playoff Raptor came to the terrible-1.1, and his career was the third lower, only lower than Pritchard, Gewei, shangpani, griffin Gao-that is to say, this Big Brother’s Raptor value in the playoffs this year is the bottom of the team rotation.

This year’s first round of 6 matches with the eagle, Brown’s 100-round mistake rate was 4.1%, and his career was the third highest in the playoffs.

Then this year’s Eastern final against the Heat, 7 games, Brown’s 100 rounds of mistakes accounted for 4.4%, the second highest in the playoffs.

What? You ask which series is the highest share of 100 rounds of mistakes?

It was the first round of his new show season and the Bulls, 4.8%, but Brown played 12 minutes per game at that time · · ·

Now it’s 30 minutes to base · · ·

Then as a scorer, the team definitely needs him to contribute at least his basic level in sports warfare.

Brown performed well in the first two rounds, with the effective hit rates of 61.1 percent and 62.0 percent respectively in the first round and the second round-which also made the fans not care much about Brown’s wrong performance in the first round.

But Dong Jie.

Brown played an effective hit rate of 44.4% in sports battles. On average, he hit 1.0 times in sports battles and needed 6.1 shots.

The effective hit rate of this sports battle is the second worst in his career.

What? You have to ask what series is Brown’s lowest effective hit rate in sports?

It is also the first round of his rookie season and Bull, 41.7%.

But he did not invest much at that time. He only shot 1.9 times in sports war · · ·

Oh, by the way, guess what.

Brown played the highest real round share of the playoffs in his career this year-33.7%

Which round? Or this year’s East decision · · ·

This part of lapping’s east decision directly made his playoff BPM fall to-0.9 · · ·

It was still higher than the playoffs of his own rookie season (at that time-3.4).

Disaster! Disaster!

I feel that I can’t even describe how disaster it is · · ·

So, sometimes Kai mi really know the ball · · ·

Brown’s performance is indeed not as good as his rookie season · · ·


Why did Brown play such an outrageous basketball performance?

First of all, we still need to understand that these high-level data are not friendly to players like Brown who rely solely on scoring-although it can indeed reflect a series of problems. Moreover, Brown suffered a split injury on his right hand before the playoffs this year, and his elbow was also crushed in the first game of Dong Ji, which are all objective factors.

But if you want to find the root of the problem, it is still because of the defect of Brown’s own two-hand control ability.

The article mentioned earlier that “his ball-holding routine mostly breaks to the right hand side, so it is easy to be targeted”, which means that when the ball right is gathered on him for what reason, the opponent only needs to force Brown to hold the ball with his left hand, and then the player on the left side assists in defense, so there is a high probability that Brown will die and make mistakes.

For example, in the eastern semi-final with Philadelphia this year, Brown broke through the broken dead ball from the left.

For example, in the Eastern finals, Brown dropped the ball on the left and was cut off by Jimmy, Vincent and Adebayor.

For example, he crossed fengshui ball to his left hand and made mistakes.

This all reflects his lack of ability to control the ball. I haven’t even mentioned his inexplicable walking on the court and the observation of the stadium rebuilt after returning to the furnace this year. If these are mentioned, it may even make people feel that there is something wrong with his football dealer.

So at the beginning of the article, I mentioned the “three” created by Celtics on the tactics of double flower exploration 」.

I tried to tell everyone that it was not Brown who had no right to play, but that he had always been the end of receive the ball.

However, the strategy of this year’s Eastern final heat against the Celtics was to “not let Tatum handle the ball” & “split ground war attack”, and finally added Tatum to his feet, in the third quarter, White, the only savior who held the ball, suffered a knee injury.

Just in the heat, they need to give all the ball rights to Brown.

This is completely a matter of course.

Jay Brown is ambitious, but at present he can’t afford his ambition.

As a result, the Celtics can only place their hopes on the flash of Brown holding the ball, while the Heat Merveille waiting for your ghostly flash.

At first glance, the Celtics won three consecutive games, and the hit rate of these three Browns was over 48%, and they were still excellent scorers.

It didn’t happen at first glance, Buddy made eight mistakes alone, 6 points to 17 points, Celtics lost seven.


I have been thinking for a long time about how to evaluate Brown’s performance this season.

Then after repeated thinking, I feel that the word “anticlimatic” is relatively reasonable and the language is not intense.

Brown in the regular season, no matter which month’s obpm (except for the period of Dong Ju) is reasonable, he even had a mid-distance hit rate compared with MJ in the first half of the season, at that time, he didn’t have to worry about anything else. He waited for the ball in his hand and then scored with Linear Space.

But anyway, the team still needs a player who can solve the attack by himself. He did a good job in the 20-21 season, unfortunately, he hurt his hand before the first round-but this at least shows that Brown has the ability and potential to become such a player.

Only this year, it seems that his performance is not worthy of his psychological expectation of more than $50 million contract.

However, Brown’s football style is still suitable for the Celtics. Bill/DeRozan is close to his high-end data, but they are all getting older, and Bill even has the potential to become a Glassman… Although Brown’s attendance rate has just reached the standard of cut-off scores, he is better than his youth and ambition. He knows where his shortcomings are, so personally, I absolutely believe that the team has performed. After all, in June last year, they were only 2 games away from taking the O’Brien Cup home, team background under the background of three years and three coaches, this year is still enough to reach the threshold of the finals. In fact, there is no reason to split the two cores.

Besides, a large part of the reason why bronneng was selected into the second squad this year is the signal released by the team in the outside world:

Jay’s position can be a flank, not just limited to the back court.

This means that the team hopes Brown can stay in Boston for a long time, and giving enough money is the biggest benefit that the team can give Brown.

As for the topic of “whether the two flowers are suitable or not” discussed by the outside world, at least for now, whether it is from the tactical system or the playing mode of the two stars, brown is definitely suitable for Tatum, just to say this, it is actually worth the Celtics to give him another 5 million.

But then again…

Which player is not suitable for the current Tatum…

So if I am Celtics, the quotation will still be quoted, but maybe, I don’t think it’s the best time to renew Jay Lun. I want that number, everything depends on the attitude of Brown before the deadline of the contract renewal day of next season or before the opening match, as long as he can know or accept his star position, brown’s contract is worth more than 4000 or even 45 million.

If Brown really wants to hold up his favorite 50 million contracts, next season will be the only chance.

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