0 11 min 8 mths

Limited by time, this round of foresight will be briefly discussed.

The Heat played against Knicks regular season four times, and the last three times occurred after the transaction deadline. Neither loafers nor Hart were absent, which was more referential. In these three games, the Knicks won twice, but the gap between the scores was not big. It can be seen from the scene that neither team had an absolute advantage.

Now, some subtle changes have taken place in the situation-it is impossible to measure the level of heat. The three-point hit rate of the heat regular season was 34.4 percent, and the number of the first round to fight the bucks soared to 45 percent. The three-point star change of more than 10 percent age points was enough to make the league’s bottom attack become the league’s no. 1 attack. Now we have to guess the trend after their three points. According to common sense, the feel will not be hot all the time, and the hit rate will inevitably return to the mean. Will the limit return the character and the next round of all kinds of iron strikes?

It’s hard to say, because many of the people who are not allowed in the hot regular season are indeed shooters. Although their recovery in the playoffs is too fierce, they cannot be said to be absurd. In addition, last season was a completely opposite story:

In the regular season, the Heat hit 37.9 percent in three points and the League hit 1 percent;

In the playoffs, the hot three-point hit rate was only. In the three-round series, the eagle hit 34.4 percent in three points, 76 people hit 29.8 percent, and the Green Army hit 30 percent. At that time, it was said that the heat might call back when shooting, and the result was not waiting for the day until it was out.

Therefore, it is also possible that the conservation of character of the heat has reversed, from the regular season to the playoffs to repay debts, to the regular season to save character for the playoffs.

Well, you can’t predict the law of conservation of character, but there is one thing-Knicks are indeed a team with three points. In the regular season, they give their opponents a very high proportion of three points, the opponent’s three-point hit rate is also the most accurate in the league. In the first round of the playoffs, the strategy of the Knicks defense Knight was also very clear, totally disrespecting the Knight’s attack line. The Knight number 3~4 is really a 3D that has passed the shooting.

The configuration of heat is completely different from that of Knights. In their rotation, the projection ability is as follows:

The clear positioning is the shooter: Duncan Robinson, Strous, loafers. If the yield of three points is high, they may not be accurate, but normal teams will not empty them on a large scale, especially after watching the sequel of “Death of Bucks;

Defenders with a large number of three points: Lowry and Vincent. Their three-point output is also very high, not necessarily accurate, but they have the ability to hold the ball, and can break through, make the ball, and immediately stop jumping;

Three points low yield vacancy response type front line: Martin. The regular season cast 4.1 three points every 36 minutes, with a hit rate. He will definitely be released. This level is placed in the Knight, which is basically the three-point level of the so-called space points of all other flanks except the three outside main attackers of Mitchell, Garland and Lewell;

Butler, the one who usually doesn’t play three points, but the key game in the playoffs. I don’t deserve to evaluate Butler’s ability. I can only say that even if Butler can’t maintain the three points against the sky in the first round, with his calmness and ability, it is enough to rely on sudden division, foul making, do hand-to-hand cooperation to solve some problems;

Adebayor, a center with no three points but medium distance. It can be predicted that Reba just went out of the Tiger Cave and entered the wolf nest. Meeting Mitchell Robinson would not be much better than meeting Daluo. However, compared with Allen and Mobley, Reba still has a middle-hand investment and strategy after all. He may still dispatch the internal line when he goes to arch top as a hand-in.

Knicks are not easy to use to deal with Knights-rely on Miro/Harten and other ball-free defensive points to shrink the basket and play with Mobly and Allen without range. The diaphragm should not kill Michelle who was attacked, garland, then watch others strike the iron-to deal with the heat. The Knight went to arch top to take part in the cover. More players were Mobley. The opponent Randle could directly attack the ball holder and force Mobley to deal with the ball, let Miro squatting in the basket and the flank defender holding the basket take care of Mobley and Allen. But the Heat went to arch top to participate in the tactics. More players were Reba. Milo could not go to the attack. He could not protect the basket behind him. If he took it inside, he had to bet that the heat could not enter-as long as the series was long enough, you must be able to win the Knight puzzle, but the Heat puzzle cannot enter, which is only known to God.

In addition, New York can’t limit Mitchell simply by single defense. Mitchell was smashed by two or even three people. In the same way, the space around you supports better Butler, which is not safe. Moreover, Butler has many tricks, and it is better to deal with the ball, so he does not eat the pinch. Several leaders in New York, grammes (estimated not to be injured) and Batley, are not as good as holodi. Hart’s strength is in place and his height is not enough. It is still difficult to limit Butler.

The Knicks actually won the Knight by defense. They defended the Knight out of the 90’s score. But this is also because the Knicks’s defensive strength is the offensive weakness of the Taek Knight. The knight can’t beat the shield with his fist. Heat is just the way to play “Tai Chi”. They can bypass the shield to a certain extent. However, heat is a kind of “Tai Chi” that sometimes belongs to Zhang Sanfeng, and sometimes it is hard to predict whether it is accurate or not.

So, can the Knicks attack break through the hot fire’s defense?

The Knicks attacked the 2nd regular season, met the knight who defended the 1st regular season, and finally handed over an attack number with a lower limit. Their offensive efficiency in the regular season is 118.7, and this round is 110.4, which still has a small downgrade. After all, the Knights have two towers to guard the basket, which also made a lot of mistakes in the Knicks. The way to attack the lower limit of nixbao was that they grabbed the 39.6% rebound rate of the front court against the sky, and Milo grabbed the Knight’s inner double into the inner double.

We think of the hot fire’s backboard play against the eagle again. It seems that they are in some danger. However, the man changed his balance again-he didn’t play much against the eagle loafers, but now he has to play for more than 30 minutes. The heat will use loafers pairs of Miro, and the biggest defensive advantage of loafers is the rebound card position. During the regular season, the Heat played against the Knicks. When loafers was present, the Heat’s defensive rebound rate was 76.7%, which is OK.

In addition, the hot counterposition method also just restrained Knicks’s starting habit. The Knicks mainly focus on 1/4 block disassembly. Assuming Butler defense Bronson and Reba defense Randle, they can directly break this group of block disassembly relieve a garrison. If Bronson asks Milo to make a cover roll call for loafers, loafers can be a strong delay, or you can directly attack Bronson to test Milo’s subsequent processing ball. Harten’s subsequent processing ability will be stronger, but the defensive dominance will be weaker. Barrett can provide some punishment for holding the ball, but his performance against Vincent is unlikely to be better than Middleton, and the heat is acceptable.

Starting line-up, the heat is not afraid of Knicks. But the depth of Knicks is very good, and Hart, quikley, and Harten on the bench are not for nothing. During the single internal period of the heat, rebounding protection is a problem, and some joint defense support may be needed. However, the single internal period of loafers may also be punished by Knicks’s breakthrough ability. The heat should strive for this period of time to use the space environment to fight. If you don’t lose too much at this time, the Heat will have a chance.

The scorer of the heat was unpredictable, and it was not clear that Ba Shen’s Jordan experience card had been recharged for several weeks. These two X factors jumped up and down, making them the first in the black eight League, and they could be beaten violently in the next play-off, the regular season’s net victory is divided into negative numbers. If they pay too much debt for the first round, they really can’t beat Knicks.

But at least at this point in time, I chose to believe that the heat with black eight Yu Wei would not be afraid of the Knicks type in terms of the characteristics of the lineup.

Prospective expectation: hot small you.

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