The draw for the men’s basketball World Cup was announced. The only conclusion I got was that FIBA still maintained a very friendly relationship with China’s men’s basketball and still had a strong interest in China’s market.

It is a very good result to be in a group with Serbia, Puerto Rico and South Sudan. At present, the head coach of China men’s basketball is a Serbian coach, Puerto Rico is an old rival of China men’s basketball in the world championships, and South Sudan is a rising strong African team.

Serbia is a team with two NBA MVP yokiki. China men’s basketball can’t play with its current strength, unlike the 2004 Olympic Games. Puerto Rico, known as small, fast and quasi, is a key rival of China’s men’s basketball debut. As for South Sudan, although the athletic ability is very outstanding and the body condition is different from that of ordinary people, it is just rising after all, and the variables of team quality and integrity are relatively large.

China men’s basketball is the same as in 2019, with two goals: winning two teams in the group competition and entering the second round; The World Cup of Asian teams finally ranked second, entering the Paris Olympic Games.

Judging from the grouping of Asian teams (including hosts), Jordan, Japan, Iran and Lebanon have little hope of entering the second round, while Philippines and Dominica have a chance to advance. Assuming that the Chinese team will enter the second round as expected and the Philippines cannot beat Dominica, then the Chinese team will have A great chance to go to the Olympic Games. On the contrary, suppose the Philippines wins Dominica and enters the second round, A, B will join the group. The Chinese team and the Philippines have a life-and-death battle to decide who will go to Paris.

The two principles of strength grading and Tongzhou avoidance determine the general grouping of the Chinese team. The same group must have the strongest one, then one opponent comes from Latin America and the other from Africa. Whether FIBA helps you depends on which Latin American team he gives you and which African team he gives you. You can’t beat a strong team. If you want to qualify, you must kill these two opponents.

You may say that South Sudan is very strong. There are several NBA players who are tall and can jump. How can they be regarded as opponents who must win? Isn’t Cape Verde the real weak team in Africa?

Indeed, South Sudan won the first place in Group F in the World Cup Africa qualifier, 11 wins and 1 loss in 12 games, with the best result, surpassing Cote d é D, Angola, Egypt and Cape Verde, cape Verde is the weakest.

But why should they give Cape Verde to you? You should know that Japan is one of the three hosts, but it is divided into Group E of death, with Germany, Finland and Australia in the same group. If Japan can’t get out of the line, you have to save some face for others in the qualifying match, because the group E where Japan is located and the Group F where Cape Verde is located will play the 17-32th qualifying match together.

The history of South Sudan national men’s basketball is only 12 years. Their first international game was played six years ago. Most of the players played in Europe or Australia, some of the famous ones are Gabriel of the Lakers and Thorne major of the original Bucks team. For such an African team with a short history, it is a question whether the staff will be neat at that time. Usually, due to problems such as capital and nationality, various variables of African teams are very large. Even if they are temporarily gathered together, their team integrity is questionable, so there is essentially no big difference between South Sudan or Cape Verde. The Latin American or African team that China is most afraid of men’s basketball is actually Venezuela’s opponent with little fame, strong integrity and discipline.

Puerto Rico is a traditional little fast Spirit team, which is rich in small defenders. There have been NBA stars such as Barria and Arroyo in history. Although only Alvarado plays in NBA, they usually rely on pressure defense and fast counterattack, A large number of three points to defeat you, such opponents are actually more difficult than African teams.

Since the World Cup in 2019, I have never believed that there is any “signing” in China men’s basketball “.

The three opponents Kobe gave us are the most suitable in history. There is a saying that is very suitable for China men’s basketball: once there was a rare opportunity in front of me. I didn’t cherish it. When I lost it, I regretted it. The most painful thing in life was this, if God could give me a chance to do it again, I would definitely say, let me send it again sideline ball.

Weak and Strong of the opponents are relative, and their strength and weakness are absolute.

If you look at the groups of Japan, Iran, Lebanon and Jordan, you will know that if you are not strong enough, you will be in the Group of Death, not to mention Japan is the second host. They give you a Puerto Rico and a South Sudan. To be honest, they still value China as a vast basketball market. The Philippines had a very good performance in the first World Cup. This time, relying on the status of the first host, it was divided into Dominica and Angola, two relatively weak rivals. Therefore, as far as grouping is concerned, China’s men’s basketball must be satisfied, which is exchanged with the strong backing of the Chinese market.

However, after the defeat of the World Cup in 2019, China has not made great progress men’s basketball. It is already a high evaluation to say that it is still standing still. Personally, I think that the level of CBA has been declining in recent years.

CBA’s current confrontation intensity, attack and defense rhythm and world trend are very serious. Most of the emerging newcomers have insufficient professional experience, let alone international competition experience. On the one hand, this is the bad result caused by the three-year epidemic. On the other hand, China’s professional basketball has serious internal friction, changing day and night, and the star is obviously cut off. Zhou Qi, the first center, has not even had any balls to play in the past two years.

We have already failed Kobe once. If we still expect to “sign up”, we may fail Scola once again. It is better to hurry up for the last three months now and grind our guns in a flash.